Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum and Foreign Minister. 1. Time and Date AS 19952023. iStockphoto.com/Vepar5 Observe General Election Day Millions of Mexicans vote for their next president, as well as deputies and senators, on general election day. In a clear sign of movement on the campaign front, national political vendors descended on Tallahassee this week, vying for work on DeSantis forthcoming campaign. But more than 90 percent of those who did turn out voted in favor of the president completing his six-year term, according to preliminary results from Mexicos electoral watchdog. "Let's finish this job I know we can," Biden says in the clip. He said the president was right to oppose U.S. calls to designate Mexican drug cartels as terrorist organizations or to use the U.S. military to crack down on the gangs. Former governor on White House campaign: 'Why not me? China hawks spread their wings ahead of the 2024 election season. It may all boil down to whether or not the middle class has had enough of AMLO and his so-called Fourth Transformation (4T) politics, and whether they are ready to vote. AMERICAS SOCIETY/COUNCIL OF THE AMERICAS. Its obvious that almost all of the elements of this reform are unconstitutional, Castaeda said. Some of his backers are urging him to declare as early as May 11, to counter the creeping national narrative that former President Donald Trump is the overwhelming front-runner for the 2024 GOP nomination. If he returns to Mexico, he could face prosecution. And then, once in power, started trying to subvert the system to remain in power, Rudman said. From rubies in Mozambique to sand in the South China Sea. The reforms, spearheaded by Lpez Obrador, would slash the agencys budget, shrink civil service staffing, and strip the agencys independence ahead of the 2024 presidential elections. It was proposed by Lpez Obrador himself during his candidacy in the 2018 election and requested by opponents and supporters of his government. The opposition parties in Mexico are a little disorganized right now, trying to find their way, but hes trying to make sure that they stay in a corner.. Download the FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. The latest news, analysis, and data from the country each week. A poster supporting Mr. Lpez Obrador in Labor Vieja, a small community of farmers in Jalisco State. With the next presidential election about two years away, the recall referendum also presented an opportunity for Mr. Lpez Obrador to test his partys strengths and weaknesses across the country, and determine who might be best positioned to succeed him. Original music by Dan Powell and . Join FPs reporters in conversation with FP executive editor Amelia Lester for a wide-ranging discussion about how Washington is thinking about Beijing now. Any opinions expressed in this piece do not necessarily reflect those of. But hes starting to look like a Scott Walker in 2015, Newt Gingrich in 2012 and Fred Thompson in 2008 maybe even a Chris Christie, who ended up not getting into the race.. As the next presidential elections draw nearer, the broader backdrop is discouraging. The process to nominate a presidential candidate for his Morena party will begin later this year. We, as Mexicans, were worried about what was happening in Brazilthe largest democracy in Latin Americabecause we are aware of a domino effect. (AMLO maintained in a press conference that the visit was part of Augusto Lpezs official duties.). looks to enter 2024 race, Disney sues Florida Gov. Others in the governors orbit, however, have argued that that date would be too soon, according to two of those sources. [1/3] Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador gestures during a news conference after nearly 92% of voters backed him to stay in office in a recall election with a low turnout, according to . By refusing negotiation over Chinas rise, the United States might be making conflict inevitable. The Change of Federal Government Mexico is a Statutory holiday in Mexico that takes place very six years. Even if his party. In the order in which the current president seems to prefer them, they are: Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum; current Secretary of the Interior Adn Augusto Lpez; and Secretary of State Marcelo Ebrard. It is organized by the INE, triggered by 2.7 million signatures from 17 Mexican states that represented 3% of the electoral roll, following rules set by the Constitution of Mexico and the Federal Law of Revocation of Mandate. By gutting the INE, one of the countrys most revered and respected agencies, Lpez Obrador threatens to end the longest period of political stability and democratic governance in Mexicos modern historymuch of which has been owed to the watchdog role played by the INE. But theres also an important strand of criticism from economists arguing that however well-meaning the Biden administrations policies may be, they are destined to backfire because they are essentially protectionist and could lead to a dangerous subsidies race. Polling booths and nearby areas are very busy with people on this day. In weakening democratic institutions, incumbents across the Americas in recent elections have made desperate attempts to strengthen or perpetuate their grasps on power. This train is already in motion, somebody just to get aboard and drive it.. Monreal has been the presidents ally for the past two decades. [9] At the start of August 2021, after the corruption trial referendum, Lpez Obrador insisted that he himself would promote the recall election. The presidential electoral cycle for 2024 hasnt officially begun, per rules set by the electoral commission, but all three main contenders for the next presidential nomination were there. The mayor of Monterrey, Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, son of a prominent politician who was assassinated while running for the presidency in 1994, has been included in some polls, but has not said he is interested in running for the presidency. Luis Donaldo Colosio Murrieta ( Spanish pronunciation: [lwis onal.o kolo.sjo murje.ta]; 10 February 1950 - 23 March 1994) was a Mexican politician, economist, and Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) presidential candidate, who was assassinated at a campaign rally in Tijuana during the Mexican presidential campaign of 1994 . "Ive been focused on this mission that weve been doing. Luis Antonio Rojas for The New York Times. ", "ESTUDIO ENTREGADO POR MASSIVE CALLER RELATIVO A LA REVOCACIN DE MANDATO 2022", "ESTUDIO ENTREGADO POR TRESEARCH RELATIVO A LA REVOCACIN DE MANDATO 2022", "AMLO arranca 2022 con cada en aprobacin; baja a 60%", "Hay alternativas a la consulta de revocacin de mandato? Monday, March 6, 2023 Approval Tracker: Mexico's President AMLO By Carin Zissis Check support levels for Andrs Manuel Lpez Obradorand polling for potential successorsas he enters the last two years of his presidency. ", "AMLO registra en diciembre su mejor nivel de aprobacin del 2021", "ENCUESTA: Baja aprobacin de Lpez Obrador", "Gira por EU 'da alas' a AMLO: Aprobacin repunta a 66% en noviembre", "AMLO sube aprobacin, pese a percepcin en seguridad", "Mexicanos difieren con AMLO sobre crticas a la UNAM", "Mes patrio le da 'empujoncito' a AMLO': sube a 61% de aprobacin", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Mexican_presidential_recall_referendum&oldid=1123767676, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles needing translation from Spanish Wikipedia, Articles containing Spanish-language text, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0. No party is allowed to hold more than 300 seats. There are no charismatic silver bullets waiting in the wings to be thrust forward by any party, no political superstar with charisma, intelligence, political savvy, massive campaign funds or any combination there of, who will do the trick. IE 11 is not supported. The Constitution spells outjust three requirements to hold the presidency. And just how far will Washington go in supporting Taiwan? finds the right candidatemeaning that his chosen successor makes their way into office. [3], The 128 members of the Senate are also elected by two methods, with 96 elected in 32 three-seat constituencies based on the states and 32 elected in a single nationwide constituency by proportional representation. A poster supporting President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador near the Metropolitan Cathedral in the historic center in Mexico City. They are hiding the ballot boxes, he added. He is perceived as a man that would favor his own agenda before that of the Fourth Transformation and will likely be chosen only if AMLO sees no other way for MORENA to keep the presidency. But is Washingtons China policy shifting? Nikki Haley 2024? But is Washingtons China policy shifting? Here's a glance at the hopefuls: Presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, of the MORENA party, gives a thumbs up to supporters at the end of his closing campaign rally at Azteca stadium in Mexico City, Wednesday, June 27 . Join the conversation on this and other recent Foreign Policy articles when you subscribe now. () A good politician knows when their moment is and they seize the opportunity; theres no question that the door is swinging against DeSantis, said Dennis Lennox, a Michigan-based Republican strategist who wants to support DeSantis in 2024. Its a trap.. The president has spent much of his term in campaign mode, traveling the country to meet with voters and keep his base energized. [8], Despite being planned for 2021, the constitutional changes stipulated its realization one year later, in 2022. In contrast, the president and other government figures assured that the organization did have the appropriate money. We, as Mexicans, were worried about what was happening in Brazilthe largest democracy in Latin Americabecause we are aware of a domino effect. He campaigned on Hugs, Not Bullets. Now, hes militarized the country. This page was last edited on 25 November 2022, at 15:39. Though it was called to commemorate Mexico's 1938 expropriation of the oil industry, many of those attending the rally Saturday agreed that it was the de-facto opening salvo to the 2024 elections that will choose the presidents successor. Delivered Wednesday. El sexenio de Lpez Obrador durar poco menos de 6 aos y la causa de esto, no es un 'complot', ms bien se debe a que as lo establece la ley en materia poltica-electoral tras una reforma aprobada el 10 de febrero de 2014 . Such is the case with Ricardo Anaya of the Partido de Accin Nacional (PAN), who ended up in second place to AMLO in 2018. Americans vote for a new president every four years, as outlined in the U.S. Constitution. Most polls show Sheinbaum as the front-runner in the race, followed by Foreign Relations Secretary Marcelo Ebrard. 3 clues to track and his approval rating isn't one of them, Donald Trumps Republican support erodes in Iowa, even as many remain committed, RNC chair says 2024 GOP candidates must sign pledge to participate in debates, Former governor on White House campaign: 'Why not me? CNN . In 2 years, Mexicans will elect the president of the first power in Latin America and the second-largest power in all of Latin America, only behind Brazil. We have to expect continued trouble for Mexico. Join in-depth conversations and interact with foreign-policy experts with. They are hypocrites, he said of U.S. politicians calling for such measures, because they don't do anything to reduce drug consumption in the United States. Only one major candidate has announced plans to run, and dynamics in each of the country's two major political parties continue to evolve. Moreno alleges a campaign against him by MORENA and that the recordings are not authentic. The default username below has been generated using the first name and last initial on your FP subscriber account. April 28, 2023. in a situation where it cannot fulfill its duties, said Lorenzo Crdova, the leader of the electoral agency. On the Democratic side, Marianne Williamson, an author and spiritual leader is the first to announce her candidacy, running on a progressive platform. There are some real concerns about whether Mexicans will continue to believe in their democratic system and their democratic institutions if the reforms play out the way President Lpez Obrador seems to want, in the sense that he wants the legislation to be upheld, said Andrew Rudman, director of the Mexico Institute at the Wilson Center. [5] Adn Augusto Lpez, secretary of the interior and former governor of Tabasco has also expressed his intent to run for the highest office, yet he has maintained a lower profile and enjoys less name recognition. Most notably, Trump has racked up endorsements from more than 50 members of Congress, including 11 from Floridas delegation, to DeSantis three. For most of the past decade, Crdova has served as . For the particular changes in the Constitution relative to the recall election, the Senate voted 90 in favor, 22 against. Despite Low Turnout, Mexico Voters Back President to Stay in Office President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador drew overwhelming support among those who cast ballots, but the recall referendum. Schools and most businesses are open. Among the worst-performing countries in the region are Venezuela, Nicaragua, Cuba, and most recently, Haiti. Meanwhile, AMLO is already parading around his two potential replacements, the current mayor of Mexico City, Claudia Sheinbaum, seen with little backbone as she parrots his mantras daily to the degree of repeating his key phrases, a loyalty that has earned her the presidents favor, and the other front runner, Foreign Relations Secretary Marcelo Ebrard, also a former Mexico City mayor, who has quite a bit of baggage surrounding shady contract management on some major construction projects like the capitals Line 12 Metro, which collapsed in May, killing 25 people and leaving other permanently maimed. MEXICO CITY Pitched by the president as a landmark exercise for Mexicos democracy, Sundays recall referendum gave voters the chance to remove their head of state from office for the first time. [5] In October of the same year, the Mexican Senate approved the recall election in general, with 98 votes in favor, 22 against, and one abstention. Turkeys leader for the last two decades, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, could be defeated in the countrys next presidential election, scheduled for May 14. Once the president is elected, she or he takes office on Inauguration Day on December 1. Lpez Obrador has claimed that Mexico doesn't produce fentanyl something most experts disagree with and that the U.S. has a fentanyl problem because American families don't hug their kids enough. One-stop digest of politics, economics, and culture. The Mexican middle class generates about 50 percent of the countrys GDP and creates eight out of every 10 jobs, according the government statistics. All polling stations opened on time, the National Electoral Institute showed once again its ability to organise and supervise elections without [] The worry is that these reformsthe presidents second bite at the applesignal a larger trend away from the democratic system that has dominated in Mexico for more than two decades, making voting more difficult and reducing trust in elections. Keri Russell gets Drexel furniture, but no Senate confirmation hearing. So, with a budget that was about half as much as what it said it needed, the watchdog set up far fewer ballot boxes than it would have in a presidential election. Produced by Will Reid and Michael Simon Johnson. [5] A candidacy by Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, son of former presidential candidate Luis Donaldo Colosio Murrieta, has been floated around by the media.[5]. He told me in a recent interview that he believes he is being held responsible for the partys 2021 loss in local elections in Mexico City. The next presidential election will mark America's 60th presidential contest. There has been an influx of national firms in town over the last few days, said one of the Florida Republican operatives familiar with the meetings. But as the initial results began rolling in, it became clear that Ms. Sheinbaums efforts seemed to have fallen short: Despite ubiquitous advertising and consistent promotion from the mayor, the participation rate in Mexico City was not among the top five states. MEXICO CITY, April 10 (Reuters) - Nine out of ten Mexicans voting on Sunday in an unprecedented recall election engineered by President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador backed him to stay in office . The question on everyones lips is who its nominee will be. Only FP subscribers can submit questions for FP Live interviews. Elected Mexico City mayor in 2000 After losing the presidential elections in 2006 and 2012, he ran again this time under a three-party coalition led by the leftist National Regeneration Movement . But some of DeSantis allies have started to question his readiness as his poll numbers have lagged and he has fell victim to a series of self-inflicted wounds. Still, in a hemisphere that has seen leaders rise to power through charismatic leadership and populistic ideals only to reveal their authoritarian intentions and machinations down the line, theres reason to be cautious, Berthin said. They discussed the IRA, cooperation with China, and this years forthcoming Conference of Parties climate summit in Dubai. : 3 clues to track and his approval rating isn't one of them. These polls were conducted after the federal law for recall elections and the referendum question were published. And here is why: If the middle classes come out in mass to vote, AMLOs party will lose, especially since the president has repeatedly taken aim at the countrys middle class, accusing them of being ambitious, selfish and determined to succeed at any cost.. While we diligently research and update our holiday dates, some of the information in the table above may be preliminary. But he would settle for anyone Morena choose. The citys mayor, Claudia Sheinbaum, a member of his party, is widely assumed to be among the likeliest contenders for the nations top job after Mr. Lpez Obradors term is up. is keeping quiet in an attitude that is totally undemocratic and contrary to the Constitution, Mr. Lpez Obrador said at a recent news conference ahead of the referendum, using the institutes Spanish initials. And the Morena government knows far too well that it cannot control the middle class, because that group has not gotten anything out of the AMLO administration, unless substandard public schools, overcrowded and underfunded health care, and a weakened buying power constitute a benefit. DeSantis amid his overseas trade trip. Which begs the question: Who will succeed him in that office? Two books peel back the curtain on the central bankbut miss why it misread the economy in the wake of the pandemic. MEXICO CITY (AP) Four candidates are in the race to become Mexico's next president in Sunday's election. in Mexico City, in defense of INE have demonstrated Mexicans desire to uphold the two-party system. Mexicans cast their vote at the general election every 6 years. One of the sources emphasized that it would be an exploratory committee, with the official launch coming soon after. Monday, February 21st is day number 52 of the 2022 calendar year with -1 year, -2 months, -8 days until Presidents' Day 2022. On the one hand, supporters of U.S. President Joe Biden point out that his White House has overseen a dramatic U-turn from the Show moredays of the Trump administration in terms of promoting decarbonization and clean energy and should be lauded for passing the (admittedly strangely titled) Inflation Reduction Act. The initial referendum wording proposed was Do you agree that the tenure of the person holding the position of the president of the Republic be terminated early, due to loss of confidence?[11] Nevertheless, the legislative groups of Morena, the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) and Labor Party (PT), did not get the necessary votes to convene the special session.[12].
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