Some in the GOP hope it's not for good. Former Federal Election Commission chair Ann Ravel predicted that the race would turn out to be one of, if not the most expensive Senate race in history. These are the top Senate races to watch in 2024 - MSN If another vacancy occurs in other Class 2 or Class 3 Senate seats, that state might require a special election to take place during the 118th Congress, possibly concurrently with the other 2024 Senate elections. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) ultimately won reelection, but the race was decided by fewer . The latest coverage of the 2024 presidential, House and Senate elections. Read the analysis >. ", "Ohio's Sen. Sherrod Brown says he's running for reelection in 2024", "Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown draws his first GOP challenger in key 2024 race", "Bernie Moreno launches U.S. Senate campaign to unseat Sherrod Brown", "Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey will run for reelection, boosting Democrats' Senate outlook for 2024 | CNN Politics", "Rhode Island Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse Has His First Republican Challenger", "Marshall community leader Tracy Andrus announces campaign for U.S. Senate", "U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz confirms he will seek a third term in 2024", "Former Midland councilman announces U.S. Senate run in 2024", "First Challenger to Senator Bernie Sanders is a Familiar Face in Vermont Politics", "Constitutional Litigator Jonathan Emord Announces U.S. Senate Run", "A Club for Growth vice president and former Ron DeSantis staffer is vying for the GOP nomination to take on Tim Kaine next fall", "West Virginia Gov. At the moment, the only assumed Democratic retirement is 89-year-old Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), who has not announced any plans. Sasse resigned from the U.S. Senate on January 8, 2023, to become president of the University of Florida.[1][2][3]. U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016 are listed in the table below. There will be two elections in Nebraska, due to the resignation of Ben Sasse. [86] Possible Republican candidates include lobbyist Robert Hyde and lawyer Peter Lumag. [142][143], State House Speaker Brad Wilson is seriously thinking of running against Romney for the Republican nomination[144] State Attorney General Sean Reyes, U.S. representative Chris Stewart, and former U.S. representative Jason Chaffetz are also considered possible Republican primary challengers. [148] However, on October 5, 2022, Manchin said, "What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now," and was watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. Voters in Pennsylvania will elect one member to the U.S. Senate in the general election on November 5, 2024. ", "Katie Porter and the 'bad boss' problem", "California Senate race sets up clash of titans", "California's Crowded Senate Primary Race Is Set to Be Most Expensive in History", "Porter rakes in $1.3M in first 24 hours of Senate bid", "PACs poised to supercharge California Senate campaign", "The California Senate Race Begins With a Scuffle Over Candidates' Progressive Bona Fides", "Barbara Lee joins growing Democratic field to claim Feinstein's Senate seat", "Feinstein's absence puts focus on Newsom's 2020 promise to appoint a Black woman senator", "Can Barbara Lee Win A Tough Senate Race? Right now in the Senate, I remain focused on the issues that matter most to Arizonans: getting inflation under control, creating good paying jobs, and addressing our water crisis, not campaign politics., Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) in a statement. Its certainly a more expansive map for us, said Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.), the caucus No. The consensus map is based on the ratings from Cook Political Report,Split Ticketand Sabato's Crystal Ball. Read the analysis >. 2024 Elections: Latest news and polls - POLITICO Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat. Braun is retiring to prepare to run for Governor of Indiana instead. [102], Former state delegate Robin Ficker has filed paperwork to run for the Republican nomination. Youre not my vector for an announcement.. Early polls show a tough slog in West Virginia, and the centrist is still seeking to finish the energy permitting bill he pushed for this year. The 2022 Senate race in Nevada was one of the most competitive of last year's midterm elections. U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services, Authorization for Use of Military Force of 2001, will not accept funds from corporate PACs, 2024 California Republican presidential primary, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction, Black Women Organized for Political Action, San Francisco Public Utilities Commission, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, "Feinstein: Will Not Run for Reelection in 2024, Focus on This Congress", "Rep. Katie Porter launches a U.S. Senate bid", "California Rep. Adam Schiff enters marquee Senate race", "Barbara Lee, a Longtime Congresswoman, Announces a Run for Senate in California", "Who Else is Running for U.S. Senate in California Besides the Big Three? Since then, Democrats have avoided the kind of Senate exodus the GOP faced this year when five of its members called it quits. Senators are divided into three classes whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. Chip in to support her", "Bay Area leaders have two clear favorites in California Senate race", "Rep. Barbara Lee launches campaign for US Senate", "S.F. [33], Two weeks later, Porter was joined by another Democratic member of the House, Adam Schiff, who said he had consulted with Feinstein before entering the race. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. He intends to run for a third-term despite previously hinting that he may retire. The Democrats' 2024 Senate problem - Roll Call Those in ME/VT are part of the Democratic caucus, while Sen. Sinema in AZ is more loosely affiliated. } ", "Angus King readies 2024 campaign that would make him Maine's oldest senator", https://www.politico.com/news/2023/05/01/cardin-not-running-for-reelection-00094653, "Raskin gets top Democratic slot on U.S. House Oversight Committee", "Cardin raises just $29K in late 2022, fueling speculation about his political plans", "Elizabeth Warren, 73, announces Senate re-election campaign | Fox News", "Once Baker's heir apparent, Karyn Polito will leave office with him. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) said that I think Im gonna run for re-election, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) said shes made it very clear shes running again, and Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) said running again is my goal. Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. [50][49][125], Educator, and former member of the Andover Township School Board, Daniel Cruz has declared his candidacy for the Republican nomination. This has been attributed to California's heavy Democratic lean and Republican donors being wary of the high cost of running a statewide campaign in California; GOP strategist Duane Dichiara estimated that a Republican would need at least $80 million to run a viable Senate campaign. Will the party let him? The current 2024 Senate ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. The map and table below shows what seats are up for election and the current incumbent in each race. She announced she would not caucus with Republicans. During the Democratic primary of the race, Carper implied that he might not seek re-election in 2024, and, when asked about it, said, "This may be the last time." Ballotpedia features 408,486 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. [52], State Senator Matt Dolan[53] and businessman Bernie Moreno[131] are running for the Republican nomination. [118][5] Former governor and 2006 Senate nominee Pete Ricketts was appointed by Governor Jim Pillen and a special election for the seat will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections. 2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast, Cook Political Report 2024 Senate Ratings, Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024. Depending on whether the Democrats win the presidency (and have a Democratic vice president who can break Senate ties), they can afford to lose zero to one Senate seats and maintain a majority.. Calvin Coolidge's (R) first term began in August 1923 after the death of President Warren Harding (R), who was first elected in 1920. Tom Williams/AP Photos, I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. .split-cols-c-list { The 2024 Senate playing field starts to take shape - CNN Think we're missing something? No candidates. The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. [26], Two-term Democrat Joe Manchin was re-elected in 2018 with 49.6% of the vote. Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. Am I undecided? After the elections, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced she had changed her party affiliation from Democrat to independent. ", "Cruz control: Texas Republican keeps his distance from 2024 White House hunt", "Dallas Democrat Colin Allred ponders Senate bid against Ted Cruz", "Romney, now a GOP maverick, undecided on future in politics", "Should Mitt Romney run for reelection in 2024? [74] 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake, 2022 Senate nominee Blake Masters,[75] attorney Karrin Taylor Robson,[76] 2022 Attorney General nominee Abraham Hamadeh, Results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. EST and aggregated from the most recent polls from the sources listed in the methodology section below. 1. She was elected to full terms in 1994, 2000, 2006, 2012, and 2018, and will be retiring in 2025 at the end of the 118th Congress. [26], Two-term Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. [34][35], A third Democratic House member, Barbara Lee, reportedly told members of the Congressional Black Caucus in January that she would also run for Senate. announced that he would be running for Senate in 2024 with the hopes of making it through a Republican primary to challenge Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin.. Email us. [26], One-term Republican Mike Braun was elected in 2018 with 50.8% of the vote. [140][141], One-term Republican Mitt Romney was elected in 2018 with 62.6% of the vote. What 2022 tells us about the 2024 electoral map - POLITICO As of April 2023, 21 senators (15 Democrats and six Republicans) have announced plans to run for re-election. Early action electrifies 2024 Senate battle - POLITICO From being the only Member of Congress to take a courageous vote against giving George W Bush unlimited war powers in 2001 to her pathbreaking leadership fighting for investments in peace, climate action, cannabis legalization, fair housing, abortion rights, and moreI am proud to call Barbara Lee a colleague, a mentor and a friend. The GOP Is Trying To Tilt Montana's Senate Race In Its Favor. Gillibrand is running for a third full term. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will not run for a seat in the US Senate next year, according to her office, clearing the way for incumbent New York senator . Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo, Arizonans are in the middle of a very busy election season, and its important we focus our resources on keeping Mark Kelly in the Senate instead of starting the next campaign anytime soon. Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the 33 regular elections on November 5, 2024, will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2025. [32], In January 2023, with the question of Feinstein's re-election decision still up in the air, Democratic U.S. Representative Katie Porter announced she would run for Senate. Mayor Breed, other community leaders stump for Rep. Lee in U.S. Senate race", "LA Mayor Karen Bass endorses Barbara Lee for Senate", "The Race to Succeed Dianne Feinstein in California Gets Even More Crowded", "Paparian Announces Endorsements Pasadena Now", "Voters prefer Newsom in Sacramento + McCarthy to speak at CAGOP + Bass endorses Lee", "Barbara Lee, a Longtime Congresswoman, Is Running for Senate in California", "u.s. Rep. Barbara Lee Announces Run For Senate", "U.S. Rep Barbara Lee formally kicks off Senate campaign in Oakland", "@BarbaraLeeForCA! What an amazing inspirational day of promise and charge to take our seat in the US Senate. Yes, Republican incumbent Brian Kemp trounced Stacey Abrams in a rematch of their. The following table provides an overview of the incumbent and candidates in 2024 Senate races. Independent ratings for AZ, ME, and VT only, Place the map on your website with this code. Democratic U.S. It is the percentage of people polled who responded favorably toward the work of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. Brevard County Assistant District Attorney Keith Gross is expected to announce a primary challenge against Scott, with U.S. Representative Byron Donalds being seen as another potential candidate for the Republican nomination. Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch Of the 33 regularly scheduled elections in 2024, 10 seats are held by Republicans, 20 seats are held by Democrats and three seats are held by independents who caucus with Democrats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent was running for reelection) and the other candidates, and the state's partisan lean (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The special election will be held to fill the last two years of the six-year term that Ben Sasse (R) was elected to in 2020. Additionally, California's top-two primary system may allow two Democrats to advance to the general election, a scenario that played out in the 2016 and 2018 Senate races. He has also expressed interest in running for president in 2024. [46] The three also launched super PACs to aid with fundraising, each competing for the top California fundraising firms and consultants. The special election will be held to fill the last two years of the six-year term that Ben Sasse (R) was elected to in 2020. Two-term Republican John Barrasso was re-elected in 2018 with 67.0% of the vote. Wicker is running for a third full term. By Nathaniel Rakich. 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia - Wikipedia [31] In December 2022, Feinstein confirmed that she would not resign before the end of her term. It Probably Won't Work. Time will tell if it proves to be insurmountable. 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio - Wikipedia [126] Former Representative of New York's 1st congressional district and Republican nominee for Governor of New York in 2022, Lee Zeldin, has not ruled out seeking the Republican nomination to challenge Gillibrand. Romney has expressed uncertainty over his political future following his votes to convict Trump on impeachment, and his indicated that he will announce a decision on reelection by mid-April 2023. The party, which currently holds a narrow 51-49 majority, must defend 23. One-term Republican Kevin Cramer was elected in 2018 with 55.1% of the vote. U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024. Congressman Mike Gallagher (WI-08), former Congressman Sean Duffy (2011-2019), Congressman Bryan Steil (WI-01), and businessman Scott Mayer[151] are seen as potential Republican challengers.[152]. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. We show the 'Battleground' races as toss-up until the forecaster issues an actual rating later this year. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Five Democratic retirements in 2014, including four in red-leaning states, set the tone for a brutal midterm that cost Democrats nine seats, including in states like Arkansas and Louisiana that are now safely Republican. Incumbents up for election in these three states are independents. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 Against that backdrop, at least eight members of Chuck Schumers caucus are agonizing over whether to run again, and a couple hail from states that may be lost to the GOP if the incumbent bows out. Sisolak. His retirement is likely to create a highly competitive . Candidate lists may be incomplete until each state's filing deadline has passed. | 2020 Electoral Votes Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the U.S. presidential election and elections to the House, will also be held on this date. Could 2024 Senate race beckon? [87] He has said "the options are wide open" on whether he runs again. Former Lieutenant Governor (2003-2007), former chair of the Republican National Committee, and Republican nominee for the Senate in 2006, Michael Steele is also seen as a potential candidate. @media screen and (max-width: 892px) { . The 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of West Virginia.Incumbent Senator Joe Manchin was first elected in a 2010 special election to complete the term of fellow Democrat Robert Byrd, who died in office.He won his first full term in a landslide in 2012 and was narrowly re . No I am all in. Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 49 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. Polls ending April 24, 2023 President: general election, 2024 April 23, 2023 President: general election, 2024 April 21, 2023 President: general election, Texas, 2024 April 20, 2023. Ricketts and Air Force Veteran John Glen Weaver have declared their candidacies for the Republican nomination. The U.S. Vice President, who will be determined in 2024, breaks ties in a 5050 Senate. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 But the 2024 Senate race in Ohio is currently considered a toss-up, as Republicans have made significant gains in the state in the last two election cycles. 1. [1] Two Democratic U.S. Representatives, Katie Porter of Irvine and Adam Schiff of Los Angeles, entered the race prior to Feinstein announcing her retirement. However, the three-way division in the Democratic field could help a Republican reach the general election. She confirmed that she would stay in the race even if Feinstein chose to run for another term. Democrats, who have a 51-49 majority, are defending more than twice as many seats as Republicans (23 to 11), including in three Republican-friendly states and several others that may again be presidential-election battlegrounds Am I undecided? Mariam Zuhaib/AP Photo, Im gonna listen to people in Delaware, and Im going to listen to my wife. Democrats face a daunting 2024 Senate map that puts them on defense in 23 of the cycle's 34 races. Representatives Jamie Raskin and David Trone and Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks are all seen as potential candidates in the Democratic primary. Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided He is running for re-election. Top Senate targets for both parties in 2024 | Washington Examiner [115], U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown is the only Democrat to win a nonjudicial statewide race in Ohio over the past decade, so the big question for 2024 is whether he can . There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. The 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Virginia. And I havent gotten to that point yet., I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. "D#" is a Democratic/active senator, "I#" is an Independent senator, and "R#" is a Republican/active senator. An updated analysis of each race can be found here ($). I feel like Im accomplishing something. Progressive Hawaii Sen. Mazie Hirono is running for reelection, spokesperson Maddy Russak said. 559 V. A-Public Policy Polling. Its too early to make those types of decisions, Cardin said. She left the Democratic Party in December 2022. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. Sen. Joe Manchin isn't one to shy away from attention . Another battleground-state senator up in 2024, Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, could face a primary challenge from Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) as well as a competitive general election. -moz-columns: 1; | The 2024 United States elections are scheduled to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. She has declined to divulge her plans and said in a statement she wants to focus on keeping Mark Kelly in the Senate instead of starting the next campaign anytime soon., Another battleground-state senator up in 2024, Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, could face a primary challenge from Rep. Ruben Gallego. [3] A moderate Democrat who unseated incumbent Republican James Rogan in 2000, Schiff's profile rose significantly during the presidency of Donald Trump, owing to Schiff's role as a lead impeachment manager in the first impeachment of Donald Trump, his service on the January 6 Committee, and his frequent appearances on MSNBC. Incumbent: Democrat Joe Manchin. A FiveThirtyEight Chat. The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. United States House of Representatives elections, 2024, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_Senate_elections,_2024&oldid=9103204, Pages using DynamicPageList3 dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. All Rights Reserved. Class 1 senators, who were last elected in 2018, will be up for election again in 2024. Representatives Barbara Lee,[21] Katie Porter,[24] and Adam Schiff[81] have announced that they are running for the seat. And holding the majority this fall in a tough environment could help keep some incumbents happier about running for reelection. Candidates have. Murphy has announced he is running for a third term. [99], Democratic consultant David Costello has announced he is challenging King. Jim Justice announcing his Senate bid in West Virginia - the seat most likely to flip party control in 2024. They are arranged so that the parties are separated, and a majority is clear by crossing the middle. Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. External Relations: Moira Delaney Hannah Nelson Caroline Presnell The 2024 Senate battle has begun and the electoral map does not favor Tech: Matt Latourelle Ryan Burch Kirsten Corrao Beth Dellea Travis Eden Tate Kamish Margaret Kearney Eric Lotto Joseph Sanchez. One special election is also scheduled for November 5, 2024. Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election. [69] Sinema has received a cross-party endorsement from Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski. January 24, 2023:Initial ratings. The interactive map provides a series of purple shades to use in these three states, in addition to the regular D/R colors. That makes the decisions of undecided incumbents critical ahead of whats likely to be another narrowly divided Senate next year, with seats Democrats used to hold in Missouri, Indiana and North Dakota drifting further away. Further, Democrats are defending seats in six states that Biden won by a single-digit margin (Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota, and Maine) while Republicans are defending only two seats in states that Trump won by a single-digit margin (Florida and Texas). Use it to create and share your own Senate forecast. And will they try again. And this is not the place for that announcement, said Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island. All Rights Reserved. Im definitely running, said Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.), who ousted a GOP incumbent in 2018. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics and frequently went viral for grilling corporate executives during congressional hearings. [42] However, all three have faced controversies that could damage their campaigns: Porter has been accused of mistreating congressional staff, Lee's age is seen as a potential issue, and Schiff is expected to face opposition from progressives due to his past support for overseas military intervention and for taking donations from groups affiliated with the oil, payday loan, and pharmaceutical industries, though he has declared he will not accept funds from corporate PACs in his Senate campaign.
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2024 senate elections